When it was put to him at least 40 MPs wanted a leadership challenge, he replied: “I don’t know what the numbers are, I don’t think anyone does. I doubt it’s that high in terms of letters, but the truth is, I don’t know.
“But the reality is there’s over 350 Conservative MPs and I think that the overwhelming swathe of the party recognise what I’m saying, which is our constituents, the public, wants to get on with the job.”
Westminster observers think it is increasingly likely that the threshold will be breached and a no confidence vote triggered. In 2018, when 48 letters were needed to trigger a vote over Theresa May’s leadership, only 27 had gone public when the vote was called.
However, in order to oust him, 180 MPs would have to vote against Johnson in the confidence vote. If it gets to that stage, the odds are in the PM’s favour with around 140 MPs on the “payroll” alone including ministers and aides.
Some Tory MPs fear Johnson could respond to an attempted coup by calling a general election.
Raab, who is also the justice secretary, was asked if he expected an early election and replied: “No, I think it’s very unlikely. And I think, by the way, when the election comes we will win it.”
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